Welcome to the final update of our 2020 US Presidential Election tracker. This Tuesday, Americans will head to the polls to cast their vote for the next President of the United States. However, results are unlikely to be known on Election Day, as it will take time to count the 80 million ballots (as of October 30, 2020) that have already been cast through mail-in and early voting.
Over the past year, we have licensed RIWI Corp.’s technology to bring monthly updates on which party diverse Americans think will win in their State, which candidate they personally prefer, and any other interesting insights that we discover.
RIWI accurately predicted the results of the 2016 Presidential Election. Therefore, we chose to license RIWI data collection technology, and we deployed it for our own use and have generated our own prediction, applying our own algorithm and our own data analysis, to predict the winner of the Electoral College. We did not license any of RIWI’s analysis tools or expertise. Therefore, this is not, in any way, a suggestion or representation of RIWI Corp.’s own official prediction for the 2020 US Election. We are making these observations only and entirely based on Goggle’s internal analysis.
National support holding for Former Vice President Biden
A year prior to the 2020 election, the Republican Party held a consistent lead over the Democratic Party. The gap between the parties narrowed as uncertainty mounted at the outset of the COVID-19 pandemic. Former Vice President Biden gained a lead in June following the Black Lives Matter rallies held across the nation in late May and June. Mr. Biden continued to further his lead through the fall and into the election.
Goggle predicts: Former VP Joe Biden victory with 296 Electoral College votes
While national sentiment among likely voters shows Mr. Biden in the lead, what does the Electoral College look like? In 2016, President Trump won crucial Battleground States to secure his Electoral College victory and all eyes will be on these States again. Politico identified Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Minnesota, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin as the Battleground States for 2020. We predict Mr. Biden will capture Georgia, Michigan, Minnesota, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, while Arizona and Florida will go to President Trump. Further, we predict that Mr. Biden will win the Electoral College with 296 votes and become the 46th President of the United States.
Goggle.com Inc., a technology company based in Barbados, licensed RIWI Corp. (https://riwi.com) data collection technology but applied Goggle’s own analysis to inform this prediction.